iindaba

1. Uhlalutyo lwendlela yomthamo wemveliso ye-polyethylene yehlabathi kwi-2018-2022

Ukususela ngo-2018 ukuya ku-2022, amandla okuvelisa i-polyethylene yehlabathi abonise ukukhula okuqhubekayo.Ukususela ngo-2018, amandla okuvelisa i-polyethylene yehlabathi angena kwixesha lokwandiswa, kwaye amandla okuvelisa i-polyethylene anyuke kakhulu.Phakathi kwabo, ngo-2021, umthamo omtsha we-polyethylene wehlabathi unyuke nge-8.26% xa kuthelekiswa naloo 2020. Ngo-2022, amandla okuvelisa amatsha e-polyethylene malunga ne-9.275 yezigidi zeetoni.Ngenxa yempembelelo yeziganeko zempilo yoluntu jikelele, ixabiso eliphezulu le-polyethylene kunye ne-inertia yokulibaziseka kweendawo ezintsha zokuvelisa, ezinye zezityalo ezicwangcisiweyo ukuqala ukuvelisa ngo-2022 ziye zalibaziseka kwi-2023, kunye nokubonelela kunye nepateni yemfuno ye-polyethylene yehlabathi. Ishishini liqalisile ukusuka kwi-tight supply balance ukuya kumthamo ogqithisileyo.

2. Uhlalutyo lwendlela yomthamo wokuvelisa i-polyethylene e-China ukusuka kwi-2018 ukuya kwi-2022

Ukususela ngo-2018 ukuya ku-2022, umyinge wokukhula ngonyaka we-polyethylene umthamo wokuvelisa unyuke nge-14.6%, eyanda ukusuka kwi-18.73 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2018 ukuya kwi-32.31 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2022. ngaphezu kwe-45% ngaphambi kwe-2020, kunye ne-polyethylene yangena kumjikelo wokwandisa ngokukhawuleza ngexesha leminyaka emithathu ukusuka kwi-2020 ukuya ku-2022. Ngaphezu kwe-10 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo omtsha wemveliso.Ngo-2020, ukuveliswa kweoli yendabuko kuya kuphulwa, kwaye i-polyethylene iya kungena kwinqanaba elitsha lophuhliso oluhlukeneyo.Kwiminyaka emibini elandelayo, izinga lokukhula kwemveliso ye-polyethylene liye lancipha kwaye i-homogenization yeemveliso zenjongo jikelele yaba yinto enzulu.Ngokumalunga nemimandla, umthamo omtsha owandisiweyo ngo-2022 ugxile kakhulu eMpuma China.Nangona umthamo osanda kwandisa we-2.1 yezigidi zeetoni eMzantsi China udlula kakhulu i-East China, amandla oMzantsi China afakwe kwimveliso ngoDisemba, nto leyo engaqinisekanga, kubandakanywa umthamo we-120 yeetoni ze-petrochina, iitoni ezingama-600,000 ze-Hainan. ukucokiswa kunye neChemical, kunye neyunithi yokuvelisa i-EVA/LDPE yeetoni ezingama-300,000 eGulei.Ukukhutshwa kwemveliso kulindeleke kwi-2023, enempembelelo encinci kwi-2022. Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, amashishini asekuhlaleni e-East China afaka kwimveliso ngokukhawuleza kwaye athatha imarike ngokukhawuleza, ebandakanya iitoni ze-400,000 ze-Lianyungang Petrochemical kunye ne-750,000 yeetoni ze-Zhejiang Petrochemical.

3. Ubonelelo kunye noqikelelo olulungeleleneyo lwemalike yepolyethylene yaseTshayina ngo-2023-2027.

I-2023-2027 iya kuba yincopho yokwandiswa kwamandla e-polyethylene e-China.Ngokwezibalo ze-Longzhong, malunga ne-21.28 yezigidi zeetoni ze-polyethylene zicetywa ukuba zifakwe kwimveliso kwiminyaka emi-5 ezayo, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba umthamo we-polyethylene waseChina uya kufikelela kwi-53.59 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2027. kulindeleke ukuba imveliso yaseChina iya kufikelela kwiitoni ezingama-39,586,900 ngo-2027. Ukwanda kwe-55.87% ukusuka ku-2022. Ngelo xesha, izinga lokuzixhasa kwe-China liya kuphuculwa kakhulu, kwaye umthombo wokungenisa impahla uya kutshintshwa kakhulu.Kodwa kwimbono yesakhiwo sokungenisa ngoku, umthamo wokungenisa izinto ezikhethekileyo akhawunti malunga ne-20% yomthamo wokungenisa opheleleyo we-polyethylene, kunye ne-gap yokubonelela ngezinto ezikhethekileyo kuya kuba ngokukhawuleza ukwenza isantya.Ukusuka kwimbono yommandla, kusenzima ukubuyisela umva izixhobo ezingaphezulu kwingingqi yaseMntla-mpuma nakumantla-ntshona.Ngaphezu koko, emva kokusebenza okuphakathi kwezixhobo eMzantsi China, imveliso eMzantsi China iya kubeka indawo yesibini e-China ngo-2027, ngoko umsantsa wokubonelela eMzantsi China uya kuncitshiswa kakhulu.