iindaba

Intshayelelo: Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, nokuba ngawaphi na amathuba okuthengisa kumazwe angaphandle aziswa yingqele e-United States kwiminyaka engama-21, okanye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezoqoqosho phesheya kolwandle kulo nyaka, umthamo wemveliso we-polypropylene wehlabathi ukhula ngenxa yokwehla ngokukhawuleza kwemfuno.Umthamo wemveliso we-polypropylene yehlabathi ukhule kwi-CAGR ye-7.23% ukusuka kwi-2017 ukuya ku-2021. Ngo-2021, amandla okuvelisa i-polypropylene yehlabathi afikelele kwi-102.809 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kwe-8.59% xa kuthelekiswa nomthamo wemveliso we-2020.Kwi-21, i-3.34 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo zongezwa kwaye zandiswa e-China, kunye ne-1.515 yezigidi zeetoni zongezwa phesheya.Ngokwemveliso, imveliso ye-polypropylene yehlabathi ikhule kwi-CAGR ye-5.96% ukusuka kwi-2017 ukuya kwi-2021. Ngo-2021, imveliso ye-polypropylene yehlabathi ifikelele kwi-84.835 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kwe-8.09% xa kuthelekiswa ne-2020.

Ubume bokusetyenziswa kwepolypropylene kwihlabathi jikelele ngokwembono yemfuno yengingqi, ngo-2021, eyona mimandla iphambili yokusetyenziswa kwepolypropylene isekuMntla-mpuma weAsia, iNtshona Yurophu kunye noMntla Melika, ihambelana namaziko amathathu ezoqoqosho ehlabathi, ebalelwa malunga ne-77% yokusetyenziswa kwepolypropylene yehlabathi, umlinganiselo. kwezi zintathu yi-46%, 11% kunye ne-10%, ngokulandelelanayo.Umntla-mpuma we-Asia yeyona marike inkulu yabathengi ye-polypropylene, ngokusetyenziswa kwayo kufikelela kwi-39.02 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2021, ibalelwa kwiipesenti ezingama-46 zemfuno yehlabathi iyonke.UMntla-mpuma we-Asia ubukhulu becala ngummandla ophuhlayo onesantya sokukhula koqoqosho ngokukhawuleza phakathi kwamaziko oqoqosho amathathu ehlabathi, apho i-China idlala indima engenakubuyiselwa.Umthamo wemveliso we-polypropylene waseTshayina uyaqhubeka nokufaka kwimveliso, kwaye ukwanda okuqhubekayo kwemveliso kuye kwaqhuba imfuno e-China nakwamanye amazwe angabamelwane, kwaye ukuxhomekeka kwe-China yokungenisa kumazwe angaphandle kuye kwancitshiswa kakhulu.Nangona ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseTshayina kuye kwacotha kule minyaka idlulileyo, iselelona lizwe likhula ngokukhawuleza phakathi koqoqosho olukhulu lwehlabathi.Iimpawu ze-polypropylene zokusetyenziswa kwexesha elilodwa zihambelana ngokusondeleyo noqoqosho.Ke ngoko, ukukhula kwemfuno kuMntla-mpuma we-Asia kusaxhamla ekukhuleni okukhawulezayo koqoqosho lwaseTshayina, kwaye iTshayina isengoyena mthengi uphambili wepolypropylene.

Ngemfuno eqhubekayo ebuthathaka phesheya, unikezelo lwehlabathi kunye nolwakhiwo lwemfuno lutshintsha, kungenjalo iimpahla zithengiswa kumazantsi-mpuma e-Asia naseMzantsi Asia, eMzantsi Korea, ngenxa yemfuno yasekhaya ebuthathaka injongo yokuthenga ayiphezulu, kwaye ixabiso eliphantsi kwilizwe lethu, izibonelelo uMbindi Mpuma ekuqaleni wathengiswa eYurophu, emva kokuba iYurophu Mired kwi-inflation, kunye nexabiso eliphantsi kwilizwe lethu, izibonelelo zexabiso eliphantsi zinenzuzo yexabiso, urhwebo lwasekhaya, uninzi lwe-flange, lo mjikelo wezinto eziphantsi kwexabiso eliphantsi, Ukudiliza ngokukhawuleza imarike. ixabiso lemathiriyeli ephuma kumazwe angaphandle, ekhokelela kwinguqu yokungenisa elizweni kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle, kuvulwe ifestile yokungenisa elizweni kunye nefestile yokuthumela ngaphandle yavalwa.

Ayisiyiyo kuphela imeko yasekhaya yokungenisa kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle etshintshileyo, kodwa kunye nokuhamba kwe-polypropylene yehlabathi jikelele kutshintshile kakhulu:

Okokuqala, ekuqaleni konyaka wama-21, phantsi kweempembelelo zengqele e-United States, i-China yatshintsha ukusuka ekubeni ngumrhwebi wangaphandle ukuya kumthumeli ngaphandle.Akuphelanga nje ukuba umthamo wokuthengisa ngaphandle unyuke kakhulu, kodwa namazwe emveliso yokuthumela ngaphandle kunye nokuthengisa anda kakhulu, ngokukhawuleza ethatha isabelo semalike yempahla yaseMelika ethunyelwa eMexico naseMzantsi Melika.

Okwesibini, ukususela ekuvelisweni kwezixhobo ezitsha eMzantsi Korea, ixabiso lobutyebi eMzantsi Korea liye lehla kakhulu, elithatha isabelo semarike ye-China yokuthengisa ngaphandle kwe-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia, ekhokelela kwimarike yase-Southeast Asia ecacileyo, ukhuphiswano oluqatha, kunye nobunzima. intengiselwano.

Okwesithathu, phantsi kweempembelelo ze-geopolitics ngo-2022, ngenxa yempembelelo yezohlwayo, ukuthunyelwa kweRashiya eYurophu kuvaliwe, kwaye endaweni yoko, kuthengiswa e-China, kwaye izibonelelo ze-Sibur zasekhaya zineendlela ezikhulayo.

Okwesine, izixhobo zoMbindi Mpuma zazithengiswe ngaphezulu kwiYurophu nakwiLatin America nakwezinye iindawo.IYurophu yayikwi-Mired kwi-inflation kwaye imfuno yayibuthathaka.Ukwenzela ukunciphisa uxinzelelo lonikezelo, izixhobo zaseMbindi Mpuma zathengiswa eTshayina ngamaxabiso aphantsi.

Kweli nqanaba, imeko yaphesheya kolwandle isenzima kwaye iguquguquka.Ingxaki yokunyuka kwamaxabiso eYurophu nase-United States ayinakwenzeka ukuba ibe lula kwixesha elifutshane.Ngaba i-OPEC igcina isicwangciso sayo sokuvelisa?Ngaba i-Fed iya kuhlala iphakamisa amaxabiso kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka?Ingaba ukuhamba kwezorhwebo kwehlabathi jikelele kwe-polypropylene kuya kuqhubeka nokutshintsha, kufuneka siqhubeke sinikela ingqalelo kwiimarike zasekhaya nangaphandle kwe-polypropylene.